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On June 25, the European Union officially started accession negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova – a move lauded by many officials as a marker in the history of EU accessions. 

Both countries have made rapid progress on structural reforms mandatory to join the bloc over the last two years. In December, EU government leaders had already stated the talks could start if the two former Soviet republics did some additional homework.

The landmark move signals a vote of confidence in Kyiv’s future at a time when Moscow has momentum on the battlefield almost two and a half years into Russia’s invasion. 

“This is a truly historical moment for my country,” said the Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine, Olga Stefanishyna, who noted that the start of talks gives Ukrainians “the moral power to continue withstanding” Russia.

Moldova, a former Soviet republic, is holding presidential elections in October. The country’s pro-Western authorities frequently accuse the Kremlin of interfering in its internal affairs. Russia also has troops stationed in the breakaway region of Transnistria.

While acknowledging and praising the progress made by both countries, some pointed out that the opening of talks is the symbolic start of the membership process. This process is likely to take years – and may never lead to membership. 

“The path ahead will be challenging,” said European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. European Council President Charles Michel pointed out that Ukraine and Moldova will have to continue carrying out “substantial reforms” to comply with the 33 chapters that make up the accession process.

“It is the official start of a very complex and long process,” according to Czech minister for European Affairs, Martin Dvořák, recalling the 15-year-long accession talks of his country.

Russia’s war in Ukraine has reinvigorated a push in the EU to take on new members, after years in which countries’ progress to join has seemingly slowed down, particularly in the Western Balkans.

The EU in December 2023 also granted candidate status to former Soviet republic Georgia. In March, the bloc also approved the conditional opening of accession negotiations with Bosnia and Herzegovina and has talks ongoing with Serbia, Montenegro, Albania and North Macedonia.

What happens after negotiations are opened? 

The opening of the talks marks just the beginning: The accession process now starts with an inventory of how far Ukraine and Moldova have already come in regards to their legislation and an assessment of which reforms of their democratic, economic-financial, judicial and social systems are still needed to align with EU requirements. 

This stocktaking will take months. Then, step by step, different ‘chapters’ will be opened to gradually align fully with the EU’s requirements.

For Ukraine this process is strewn with political obstacles. Standing in the way along that journey will be not just Russia’s efforts at destabilisation but reticence from doubters inside the EU, most notably Hungary who will assume the six-month rotating presidency of the Council of the European Union on July 1. 

Budapest has been opposed to pressing ahead with Kyiv’s membership bid, arguing that Ukraine was unfairly moving ahead for political reasons. 

“From what I see here as we speak, they are very far from meeting the accession criteria,” Hungary’s Europe minister János Bóka said on Tuesday. 

Accession negotiations can begin because Budapest lifted its veto on the process which can only advance with the unanimity of all member states. Hungary demanded that Ukraine respects the rights of the Hungarian minority in the country and after intense discussions this is now noted in the EU’s negotiation framework document. 

Accepting Ukraine, a country of some 40 million people, would be a major step for the EU, and there are calls for the bloc to carry out reforms to streamline how it works before accepting new members.

It is currently considered impossible for Ukraine to become a member state prior to the end of the Russian war of aggression. If Ukraine was a member, Kyiv could then call for military assistance in accordance with Article 42, paragraph 7 of the EU Treaty – and the EU would be a war party.

The negotiations also come at a tense time in Moldova after the United States, Britain and Canada warned of a Russian “plot” to influence the country’s presidential elections in October.

President Maia Sandu has accused Moscow, which has troops stationed in the breakaway Transnistria region of the country, of aiming to destabilise Moldova ahead of the vote. 

Belgian Foreign Minister Hadja Lahbib stated that the relationship between the EU and Moldova was already bearing fruit. The European Union is Moldova’s largest trading partner, which in turn offers important opportunities for business and foreign investment.

Montenegro moving forward after seven years of virtual standstill 

Besides talks with Ukraine and Moldova, this week officials have held their 16th meeting of the Accession Conference with Montenegro to take stock of Podgorica’s progress. This included advances in reaching interim benchmarks regarding the rule of law chapters. 

EU Commissioner for Enlargement Olivér Várhelyi said that Montenegro has “met the interim benchmarks in the rule of law area” and can now move on to “start closing chapters”. 

The Balkan country obtained candidate status in 2010 and accession negotiations began in 2012. 

Montenegro’s Prime Minister Milojko Spajić spoke of a “historic moment” but also acknowledged that his country “had a long period of drought”. He further stated his country had achieved results in the past seven months that were comparable to those achieved over the last seven years and hopes for his country to become a member state by 2028.

Hristijan Mickoski (in front) was elected Prime Minister of North Macedonia on June 23. He is also the leader of the nationalist VMRO-DPMNE party. Photo: MIA

North Macedonia: New government angers its Greek and Bulgarian EU neighbours 

The newly elected North Macedonian government is fuelling the fire thought previously extinguished by referring to the country by its old name “Macedonia” which doesn’t only anger Athens but is a source of concern for Brussels, too. 

The country changed its name to North Macedonia after a UN-brokered deal with Greece in 2018. Athens had not accepted the old name as its northern province is called Macedonia. While the name change has paved North Macedonia’s way to NATO membership, the country’s EU bid is still pending nearly twenty years after receiving candidate status in 2005. 

North Macedonia’s Prime Minister Hristijan Mickoski recently said: “I will call myself whatever I want.” During her auguration, the country’s new president, Gordana Siljanovska-Davkova, had also demonstratively used the old country name – causing a diplomatic stir.

Greece’s Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis said in a speech in parliament on June 26, that the new government in Skopje had “not made a good start” and had violated obligations under international agreements with regard to North Macedonia’s aspiration to join the EU. All EU member states must agree to the enlargement. 

In his first week as prime minister, Mickoski also caused tensions to rise again with North Macedonia’s eastern neighbour Bulgaria by saying that the negotiating framework for the country’s accession to the European Union can be changed.

„You want changes in the Constitution? Why? Who is violating the rights of the Bulgarian community in [North] Macedonia?” Mickoski said on June 25 regarding the stipulation to recognise Bulgarians as one of the constituent peoples in the basic law of the country.

Bulgarian President Rumen Radev responded, stating that Mickoski’s rhetoric is aimed directly against European principles and decisions taken by consensus by all member states, against international commitments, “but most of all against its own citizens who have clearly stated their ambitions for the European development of the country”.

The nationalist VMRO-DPMNE party won the parliamentary elections in North Macedonia in May and formed a new government together with smaller parties at the end of June. 

This article is published twice a week. The content is based on news by agencies participating in the enr.